Miss a day
Miss a lot

Northern Gas Pipelines is your public service 1-stop-shop for Alaska and Canadian Arctic energy commentary, news, history, projects and people. It is informal and rich with new information, updated daily. Here is the most timely and complete Arctic gas pipeline and northern energy archive available anywhere—used by media, academia, government and industry officials throughout the world. Northern Gas Pipelines may be the oldest Alaska blog; we invite readers to suggest others existing before 2001.  -dh

ConocoPhillips ad, Northern Gas Pipelines, Logo

 

Arctic Policy

4-2-15 On The Road

02 April 2015 1:19pm

Governor Bill Walker today stated his support of two recent announcements on Arctic offshore oil and gas exploration.

On Tues., March 31, the U.S. Department of Interior issued a Record of Decisionaffirming Chukchi Sea OCS Oil and Gas Lease Sale 193 and the remaining oil and gas leases issued in 2008 as a result of the sale. 

“I’m pleased Interior Secretary Sally Jewell has taken a thoughtful and balanced approach to oil and gas leasing,” Governor Walker said. “This is an important step toward responsible Arctic exploration.”

Governor Walker also said he is encouraged by the National Petroleum Council’s report to the U.S. Secretary of Energy. The 500-page report contains a series of recommendations that reflect the Walker-Mallott administration’s goals for sustainable and responsible development of the outer-continental shelf and greater Alaskan engagement.

“As the United States assumes chairmanship of the Arctic Council this month, I’m pleased to see NPC recommends more investment in and coordination of offshore Arctic oil and gas research,” Governor Walker said. “The U.S. is an Arctic nation because of Alaska. This detailed and non-advocacy report underscores the importance of Alaska’s oil and gas resources to the nation.”

Department of Natural Resources Commissioner Mark Myers and Senator Bert Stedman are the only two Alaskan members of the NPC, an oil and natural gas advisory committee to the U.S. Secretary of Energy.

(National Petroleum Council report: http://www.npcarcticpotentialreport.org/)

Categories:

4-1-15 Happy April Fools Day! Commentary: Are We The Fools?

31 March 2015 11:30pm

See National Ocean Policy Council Alert Here!

(Readers will understand the importance of this alert after reading today's commentary, below.  -dh)

See Part 4, Alaska Economic Report Below

Related Commentary: "The Sting"

Last Friday, former Alaska Legislator Beth Kerttula, posted this NEW OCEAN POLICY announcement

"Today, we are releasing the first Report on the Implementation of the National Ocean Policy, which highlights the progress we’ve made since we released an action plan last year. From supporting the ocean economy to ensuring the security of our ports and waterways, and from improving coastal and ocean resilience to providing local communities with tools to plan for a better future, we’ve made tremendous strides in undertaking our role as responsible stewards of this Nation’s great oceans.

"Among the activities described are a host of steps to promote sustainable energy development and aquaculture practices—including ensuring that permitting processes for these activities are...."

Here is a report from the private sector's "National Ocean Policy Coalition".  See Action Alert Here!

This massive undertaking -- which will ultimately affect all waterways feeding the Great Lakes and Oceans -- is a regulatory monster created by President Obama early in his first term.  See our original, 2009 report here.  See strategy of NOAA support here.

The oceans, Great Lakes, and all waterways and lands surrounding them are destined to be regulated under a new regime called, ecosystem-based management (EBM).

Our astute, NGP readers can just imagine the havoc that Obama, Kerttula and their massive grass roots constituencies can bring to America's traditional use of our waters.  

Not only does this effort threaten any natural resource activity in Alaska (i.e. which has 3/4 of America's coastline and over 3 million lakes, rivers and streams), but can severely affect every single American.  

The direct effects will be felt by commercial fishermen and others who make a maritime living--and even farmers whose activity on private land can be deemed to affect waters leading into lakes and oceans.  

Indirect effects will descend upon every American who will ultimately pay for the cost of this regulation and with more jobs exported to countries which do not have such regulatory obstacles.

The final insult to our way of life is that this whole, massive effort is unapproved and unfunded by Congress.  

Obama has done it all by Executive Order and memorandum.  It is run under the cover of the White House's Council on Environmental Quality and by his order, dozens of government agencies are indirectly funding the effort -- redirecting their own congressionally approved funds and people to this dangerous activity.

We believe that this is one of the greatest examples to date of Obama's unconstitutional usurpation of Congressional powers.

We also wonder why more Governors and Congressional Delegations are not literally handcuffing themselves to the White House fences until this sort of illegal activity ceases.

Until and unless relief from such usurpation comes from some as yet unidentified champion, we can only conclude that America's rule of law is finished and that we have entered a new era of elected fascists who create law out of thin air by the memorada edicts and Executive Orders.  

Oh, and about DOI's affirmation of Lease Sale 193 yesterday, good luck.

Yes, we have been set up and stung again and again; and this is the latest sting by this administration.

American citizens have, indeed, been played for fools by those they elected.

-dh

Commentary: "The Set Up".

Yesterday, the Department of the Interior issued a Record of Decision affirming Chukchi Sea OCS Oil and Gas Lease Sale 193 and the remaining oil and gas leases issued in 2008 as a result of the sale. Press release  (Comment: Now that DOI has finally validated its own lease sale  (i.e. and long ago accepted payment by industry), observers will now watch carefully to see if the regulators deny access through the permitting process.  We hope the outcome is not a statement months or even weeks from now to the effect that, "Our policy is that exploration and development should occur in these areas, but only under responsible conditions.  To date, those applying for permits have not demonstrated that exploration -- much less development -- can occur responsibly in these areas.  Accordingly, the applications for permits are denied."  -dh)


Fox Business News.  

The Alaska Senate passed a bill Tuesday that would temporarily restrict participation by a state-sponsored corporation in an alternate gas pipeline project proposed by Gov. Bill Walker.

The vote followed a failed attempt by legislative leaders and Walker to reach an agreement.

The vote was 13-7, but notice of reconsideration was given, meaning the bill could be voted on again before advancing. It passed the House last week.

Walker has said he would veto the bill. A legislative override would require the support of at least 40 legislators.


Our Quick Takes On Current Alaska Journal of Commerce Headlines:

Hilcorp Energy keeps up spending despite oil price slide  -  More respect and kudos to one of Alaska's great new companies.  -dh



From Brent Greenfield, National Ocean Policy Coalition (Mentioned in commentary, right column.  Please act today.  Note that our preference would be to defund the entire, ocean policy process completely and surgically remove all funding from all agencies devoted to supporting this unfunded government program.  You can support the NOPC letter but we would recommend separate letters to your Congressional delegations recommending total defunding.  -dh)

Our readers:

With Congress set to soon begin drafting bills to fund the federal government for FY 2016, and with National Ocean Policy implementation continuing and very potentially impactful actions currently slated for FY 2016, NOPC has drafted a letter to House and Senate Appropriations Committee leadership in support of language that would achieve a 1-year pause in implementation of two of the policy's most concerning components.  Many of you have signed on to similar letters in the past, and your support is greatly appreciated. 
 
We are at a pivotal juncture with respect to policy implementation, and demonstrating the maintenance and broadening of support for a time-out will be critical to securing effective congressional action.  To that end, please review the draft text below and let us know by COB Wednesday, April 8 if we can add your organization's name as a signatory.  Also, please let us know if there are other organizations in your network that might be interested in signing on.  Thank you again for all your support.
 
Best,
Brent
 
 
Brent Greenfield
National Ocean Policy Coalition
2211 Norfolk
Suite 410
Houston, Texas 77098
 
 
DRAFT
 
Dear Chairmen Rogers and Cochran and Ranking Member Lowey and Vice Chairwoman Mikulski:
 
In connection with the drafting of legislation to fund the federal government for Fiscal Year 2016, the undersigned groups request your support for including language in all appropriations bills that ensures commercial and recreational interests spanning nearly every sector of the U.S. economy are not saddled with additional uncertainty or new regulatory hurdles as a result of implementation of two particular components of the July 2010 Executive Order establishing the National Ocean Policy. 
 
Among other things, the Executive Order directs a multitude of federal entities to participate in “Coastal and Marine Spatial Planning” (CMSP) in all nine U.S. coastal regions.  CMSP is described as a process "to better determine how the ocean, coasts, and Great Lakes are sustainably used and protected," and the Interior Department has likened CMSP to a “national zoning plan” that “will serve as an overlay” in federal decisions.  Concerns are further heightened given that the geographic coverage of CMSP includes inland bays and estuaries and upland areas as new governmental “Regional Planning Bodies” deem appropriate, and since federal entities will “address priority…ocean management issues associated with marine planning as described in the Executive Order” regardless of whether all states in a region decide not to participate.
 
In addition to CMSP, the National Ocean Policy requires the federal government to implement “Ecosystem-Based Management” (EBM), which is described as a “fundamental shift” in how the U.S. manages ocean, coastal, and Great Lakes resources.  Among other things, federal entities are required to “[i]ncorporate EBM into Federal agency environmental planning and review processes” by 2016.
 
Language adopted by the Executive Order states that effective National Ocean Policy implementation would “require clear and easily understood requirements and regulations, where appropriate, that include enforcement as a critical component,”and acknowledges that the policy “may create a level of uncertainty and anxiety among those who rely on these resources and may generate questions about how they align with existing processes, authorities, and budget challenges.”  In order to ensure that further implementation of some of the most concerning and potentially impactful aspects of an initiative that has not been authorized by Congress does not create additional regulatory uncertainty, result in new regulatory hurdles, or siphon away scarce federal dollars from critical and authorized activities, the undersigned groups respectfully request that all appropriations bills include language stating that "None of the funds made available by this Act may be used to further implementation of the coastal and marine spatial planning and ecosystem-based management components of the National Ocean Policy developed under Executive Order 13547."
 
Including this language will provide Congress with an important opportunity to more closely examine the National Ocean Policy and the full range of its potential impacts before it is fully implemented.  In closing, we appreciate your attention to this issue and respectfully request inclusion of the proposed language in all Fiscal Year 2016 appropriations bills. 
 
Sincerely,

Newsmax by Ken Mandel.  The Keystone pipeline project transports oil from Canada to refineries in Illinois and Texas via eight U.S. states. Completed in 2014, a shortcut known as the Keystone XL was approved by Congress the next year, but vetoed by President Barack Obama.

The debate continues to rage. Here are eight quotes from oil company executives, who stand to benefit from the pipeline's construction: 

1. "Anything could happen, we don't know, but we remain confident that when Keystone is ultimately built, it will be the safest pipeline that has ever been constructed in this country." — Andrew Craig, TransCanada's land manager for Keystone projects and development, told NBC News. 

Read More....


Forbes (3/27/15) editorializes: “This Saturday marks the seventh annual observance of “Human Achievement Hour,” a celebration of technology and prosperity hosted by my organization, the Competitive Enterprise Institute. Originally created as an alternative to the World Wildlife Fund’s “Earth Hour” campaign (which urges people to turn off their lights in the name of environmental conservation), Human Achievement Hour counters widespread predictions of environmental and societal doom.”

Alaska Economic Update- Part 4  -  Parts 1-4 Here

Posted: 31 Mar 2015 11:21 AM PDT

By Mark Edwards

Today we wrap up our series on the Alaska Economic Update. Over the past three posts, we have looked at oil prices, jobs, and population. We wrap things up today with the housing marketing and the building environment. For the complete Alaska Economic Update as well as other important studies, visit our ‘Resources’ section.

Home lending activity flat - The Alaska Housing Finance Corporation (AHFC) released its third quarter report on Alaska housing indicators. It tracks new loan activity for single family homes and condominiums in Alaska.  The data is based on a survey representing approximately 95% of mortgage lenders in Alaska and also includes AHFC loans. The survey covered mortgage lending activity in the first nine months of 2014.

It reported 6,889 loans were originated statewide for single family homes and condominiums for a total amount of $1.8 billion. This is nearly identical to the volume in the first 9 months of 2013. Loans were done with an average down payment of 11% for the last five years.  Single family homes accounted for 87% of statewide mortgage lending activity with 52% of those loans occurring in Anchorage. The Mat-Su contributed 18% of the volume, 10% in Fairbanks, 8% in Kenai, 5% Juneau, 2% Kodiak, and 1% in Ketchikan.

10% of total mortgage activity for the quarter was for condominiums and only 3% was multi-family.  91% of condominiums were financed in Anchorage. Juneau accounted for 5%, and the Mat-Su, Kenai and Fairbanks 1%. 

Refinance activity slowed rapidly in 2014, but may rise as interest rates are falling again - 30 year conventional fixed interest rate mortgage loans have been getting less expensive for three decades.  In 1981 they peaked at 16.6% and have undergone a slow and steady decline ever since.  In early 2009 rates dipped under 5% on average for the first time and a surge in refinance activity began. 

According to AHFC statistics, there was less than $200 million in refinance loans completed per quarter in Alaska in 2006 and 2007.  In 2008, the average rose to $400 million.  Then in the first quarter of 2009 the activity spiked to $1.4 billion, followed by $1.2 billion in the second quarter.  During this time, the average 30 year interest rate declined nearly 1.5% in six months. 

Graph 1

The refinance pace slowed somewhat in the last half of 2009, but still finished the year with $3.7 billion in refinanced mortgage loans according to AHFC statistics.  In 2010, the refinance volume declined to $2.4 billion, followed by $2.1 billion in 2011.  2012 saw an unexpected decrease in interest rates again to an all-time historic low of 3.3% by the end of the year.  This led to an increase to $3.1 billion in refinance activity. 

Rates increased throughout 2013 and you can see on the far right of the graph, the result has been a steep drop off in refinance activity.  Rates began declining again last year and finished 2014 at 3.86% on average.  AHFC data is only available through the third quarter of 2014 at this time, so we have not yet seen the year end results.  Rates continued lower in February to 3.71%.  This should be a positive trend for both home sales and refinance activity this year.

Housing statistics still good relative to the U.S. – The recently released survey by the Mortgage Bankers Association shows that Alaska continues to have some of the lowest levels of foreclosures and delinquencies on residential mortgage loans in the United States. Through the third quarter of 2014, Alaska ranked 5th and 7th best in the nation out of 50 states in foreclosures and delinquencies of all loan types.

The total inventory of foreclosures in process is 0.9% in Alaska, while the country has a much larger lingering foreclosure inventory at 2.4% due to higher rates during the recession and longer resolution times. These rates are an improvement from four years ago when Alaska’s rate was 1.4% and the U.S. foreclosure rate was 4.6%.

Delinquent loans are more than 30 days past due, but not yet in foreclosure. Alaska is fifth best behind North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana and Hawaii in the overall level of delinquent loans. Alaska’s delinquency rate is 3.6%, while the U.S. average is 6% for all loan types. This is an improvement for Alaska from 4.8% four years ago. The U.S. delinquency rate has also come down more dramatically from 9.4% at this time four years ago.

Graph 2

Subprime lending to traditionally non-qualified borrowers was a large contributing factor to the national mortgage problems. The survey covers 95,176 mortgages in Alaska. 6,110 or 6% were considered subprime, compared to 9% nationally. The rate of delinquencies and foreclosures on subprime loans is significantly higher. However, Alaska is in a far better position and again leads the nation as having the lowest level of foreclosures and is second in delinquencies for this important category. Subprime foreclosures in Alaska are at 2% while the national average is 9.8%. Alaska’s subprime delinquency rate is 9.4% compared to the national average of 19.3%.

Building permits up 430 units in 2014, but still historically low - According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the number of building permits for new, privately owned housing of 1 to 5 unit buildings remained low for the 8th straight year.  It had been under 1,000 units since 2007, but in 2013 it grew 9% to 1,081.  Last year saw a dramatic jump up to 1,509.  However, this is still half the level seen 10 years ago.

Growth in single family homes increased from 877 to 1,114 last year.  The number of duplexes permitted fell from 66 to 50.  The number of structures with three or four living units decreased slightly from 49 to 45.

The other major growth area beyond single family homes was in multi-family.  The number of structures with five or more units climbed from 10 in 2013 to 33 in 2014.  In terms of housing units that meant a growth from 87 to 300 last year.  The biggest challenge has been making new construction affordable enough to meet buyer’s income levels.  There is a shortage of low cost housing in Anchorage.  Vacancy factors are very low and the number of existing homes under $350,000 is in short supply.  It appears builders have started to take more risk in this market segment, likely aided to some extent by government subsidy programs.  Anchorage is expected to follow other growing cities by becoming denser, building vertical and redeveloping older properties.

Graph 3

Graph 4

Categories:

3-29-15 NPC Says Develop Arctic Energy

29 March 2015 7:38am

Hearst Newspapers by Jennifer Dlouhy.  

The United States should move swiftly to harness the tremendous oil and gas reserves locked under its Arctic waters while the industry improves the equipment used to drill wells and sop up spills, according to a government advisory committee report released Friday.

The analysis, conducted by the National Petroleum Council at the request of Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz, makes the case for the United States to aggressively develop Arctic oil and gas that can help supply the country with energy long after production tails off from onshore fields.   More....


Juneau  Empire Editorial.  

Lately, the Alaska Legislature has been talking a lot about the gas pipeline. Under Gov. Sean Parnell, Alaska signed a deal with Big Oil that would build one from the North Slope down to the Kenai Peninsula. By all accounts, that pipeline’s looking like the best way to keep Alaska from going broke in the middle term. 

Of course, we’ve thought the same thing before. We thought it about the El Paso proposal, the Foothills Gas Pipeline, the Yukon Pacific Corp. pipeline, the Alaska Gasline Inducement Act and the Denali Gas pipeline. We’ve thought it about bullet lines and small-diameter lines.

The AK LNG — Alaska Liquified Natural Gas — pipeline might yet turn out to be another broken dream. If that happens, the state will be in true financial trouble.

With so much at stake, doesn’t it make sense to have a spare tire?

Categories:

3-26-15 Major Alaska Legislative Hearing: Ak-LNG North Slope Gas Project

26 March 2015 6:59am

Senator Cathy Giessel, AGDC, ASAP, Ak-LNG, HB 132, Photo by Dave HarbourCommentary: Yesterday, the Senate Resources Committee's Chairman, Cathy Giessel (NGP Photo) scheduled testimony on HB 132 clarifying the mission of the state-owned Alaska Gasline Development Corporation. 

ON THE FEDERAL SIDE:

Randall Luthi, Alaska OCS, National Ocean Industries Association, IOGCC, DOE, Photo by Dave Harbour ADN Commentary by Randall Luhi (NGP Photo).  We need to take our country and economy to the next level in terms of energy security. The only way to do this is to safely and responsibly explore our own offshore energy resources, particularly off Alaska.


SHELL DECISION CLOSE!

ADN by Jennifer Dlouhy.  The Obama administration is set to announce within days whether it will reaffirm a seven-year-old government auction of oil leases in the Chukchi Sea — a decision critical to Shell's plans to resume drilling in those Arctic waters this summer. 

As our readers know, Governor Bill Walker once opposed AGDC's sponsorship of the medium diameter so-called ASAP gas line from Prudhoe Bay, past gas-hungry Fairbanks to South Central Alaska.  

Walker now proposes that AGDC's project be expanded in some as yet undefined way to accommodate high gas volumes. 

This would put AGDC's ASAP project in direct competition with its partnership position in support of the Ak-LNG project.

We'll provide a more complete report later; meanwhile, here is a link to the actual video archive of that hearing.    -dh


Today's American Energy Alliance links:

Special deals for Tesla:
 
The Wall Street Journal (3/25/15) editorializes: “California has tried to solve this problem for Tesla with its zero-emissions vehicle mandates, which have other makers buying ZEV credits from Tesla. But the sheer idiocy of these subsidies is a continual risk to Tesla. A ZEV car in California is one with zero emissions at the tailpipe, no matter how much environmental degradation it causes upstream. Toyota, for one, has recently switched its attention to hydrogen-fueled cars, which emit only water and warm air at the tailpipe, never mind that 95% of the world’s hydrogen is manufactured from fossil fuels. Policies that are so transparently stupid and perverse, like the policy of subsidizing rich people with $7,500 tax credits to indulge themselves with Tesla’s products, would not seem a sound basis for a scale auto manufacturer, which Tesla aspires to become.”

Bright Bulb Award:

"Rather than issuing standards and rules to which new wells must conform, the BLM instead has invested itself with the power to either sign off on or block each individual well, operating on a case-by-case basis. (Based on what statutory authority? Are we still even asking that question?) Which is to say, satisfying the letter of the law will not be enough — BLM bureaucrats still will have the final say, employing whatever whimsical standards leap into their perverse little minds. This is a recipe for outright corruption..."

The RFS has a fever. And the only cure is full repeal.

The Wall Street Journal (3/25/15) editorializes: "At the Iowa Agriculture Summit earlier this month, most of the prospective Republican presidential candidates embraced the renewable-fuel standard, one of the worst examples of corporate welfare in America. This federal mandate props up the U.S. ethanol industry by forcing refiners to blend biofuels into gasoline. Despite the fact that it is an obvious business handout, White House hopefuls rarely attack the standard, lest they harm their chances of winning the Iowa caucuses."

Handouts breed corruption, as the Oregon DOJ is about to discover. 

The Oregonian (3/24/15) reports: “The Oregon Department of Justice has opened criminal and civil investigations into the award of $11.8 million in state tax credits for a series of solar arrays installed at Oregon State University and the Oregon Institute of Technology. The agency acted after The Oregonian/OregonLive reported earlier this month that developers of the arrays missed deadlines to qualify for subsidies under the state's business energy tax credit. The news organization's investigation found that backers submitted phony and misleading documents to the state to demonstrate construction was underway by the deadline - documents that officials at the Oregon Department of Energy failed to check.”

Does the hypocrisy of it all even remotely cross his mind?

The Washington Free Beacon (3/25/15) reports: “Leftist actor Mark Ruffalo, best known for his supporting role in 13 Going on 30, has not let his crusade against fossil fuels get in the way of his mass consumption of them…Though Ruffalo has committed himself to divesting from fossil fuels, he is far from committed to reducing his own fossil fuel use. Ruffalo is currently offering to fly (presumably on a fossil fuel-burning jet) the winners of a raffle he is running to the world premiere of Avengers: Age of Ultron...The winners of Ruffalo’s raffles will be burning just a fraction of the fossil fuels burned during the filming of the latest Avengers movie, which was filmed at 23 locations across the globe. He and the rest of the Avengers filmed in locations ranging from England to South Korea to Bangladesh to South Africa to Italy.”

Let's not kid ourselves: The PTC isn't about developing new technology. It's about lining AWEA's pockets. 

The Daily Caller (3/25/15) reports: “Sen. Lamar Alexander has a proposal for Democrats: End subsidies to wind power producers and use that money to double funding for federal energy research at the Department of Energy. “Washington has a bad habit of picking winners and losers, and an addiction to wasteful subsidies of all kinds – we need to end these policies,” the Tennessee Republican said during a hearing on DOE’s 2016 budget request Wednesday. For years, many Republican lawmakers have been looking to end the Wind Production Tax Credit (wind PTC) which has been extended nine times since 1992. The wind PTC pays wind farm operators for the first 10 years of electricity produced. The wind lobby has fought hard to reinstate the subsidy after it expired at the end of last year.”

Ever the good little lemmings, Marylanders are following New York's lead. Over a cliff.

The Baltimore Sun (3/24/15) reports: “Both chambers of the Maryland General Assembly separately passed measures Tuesday that mark the most aggressive action the legislature has taken to curb natural gas extraction in the state. The Maryland House of Delegates passed a three-year ban on fracking and the Senate approved tough new legal standards for drillers. Each bill must still clear the other chamber, but the actions signaled the legislature was willing to go further than it has before to limit natural gas drilling.”

Do you have something to hide, Gina?

The Washington Examiner (3/25/15) reports: “A House committee Wednesdaysubpoenaed Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Gina McCarthy for her cell phone billing records and emails. The subpoena by the Committee on Science, Space and Technology was issued at 1 p.m. Wednesday and seeks the records after the agency failed on at least 10 prior requests from the panel for documents on whether an estimated 5,000 text messages were improperly deleted from McCarthy's device.”

Why the hell is the government giving Alcoa a $259 million loan?

Bloomberg (3/26/15) reports: “ A $25 billion U.S. Energy Department loan program that funded flops like Fisker Automotive Inc. and successes such as Tesla Motors Inc. resumed lending after a four-year hiatus to retool the lending project’s focus. Alcoa Inc. has been approved for a $259 million loan from the Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing program to upgrade a factory making high-strength aluminum that can improve automobile gas mileage.”

At least the Japanese are putting that money to some good use.

The Associated Press (3/26/15) reports: “Despite mounting protests, Japan continues to finance the building of coal-fired power plants with money earmarked for fighting climate change, with two new projects underway in India and Bangladesh, The Associated Press has found. The AP reported in December that Japan had counted $1 billion in loans for coal plants in Indonesia as climate finance, angering critics who say such financing should be going to clean energy like solar and wind power. Japanese officials now say they are also counting $630 million in loans for coal plants in Kudgi, India, and Matarbari, Bangladesh, as climate finance.”

Categories:

3-20-15 Alaskan and Canadian Energy Investors Face a Competitive New World

20 March 2015 7:46am

See this week's Petroleum News, just released.

Compared to Russian and Canadian Arctic energy initiatives, U.S. efforts are pathetic.  Russia's Arctic power could well influence competitive factors discussed below in ways detrimental to the world's democracies.  Read more....    -dh 


Decision makers: look below, and ignore the competitive, new, worldwide oil & gas market at your own peril and at the risk of removing opportunities from your succeeding generation of young, hopeful, ambitious children that you and your friends enjoyed.  -dh

Today, an energy analyst friend privately opines on natural gas pricing, which should be of some interest to potential investors in a $40 - 60 billion Alaska natural gas pipeline--as well as Canadian project participants.  Read below.

We hasten to add that natural gas supply and pricing is still not as "world-wide fungible" as oil.  

Until now, the North American gas market has focused almost completely on North American supply/demand factors...unlike oil which has traded within a fairly narrow worldwide price range--offsetting U.S. prices somewhat because of the multi-decade crude oil export ban.  

U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski yesterday stressed the economic and national security benefits of ending the 1975 federal ban on exporting domestically produced crude oil at a hearing before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee.  See the video, also featuring ConocoPhillips Chairman & CEO Ryan Lance (NGP Photo).  

However, because of extensive, competing world-wide LNG export projects, the continuing expansion of world-wide shale technology, and the increasing attraction of natural gas for power generation it is probably only a matter of time before we approach a worldwide pricing range and supply balance for natural gas.  

Investors must absorb and interpret these rapidly changing and multi-dimensional factors as they consider different lease sale bidding strategies and varied projects in different jurisdictions with wide-ranging rules and risks.  This reality makes it essential that Alaska's and Canada's energy decision makers (i.e. our readership base) retreat from unpredictable, greedy and provincial tax, royalty, regulatory policies and lavish spending practices--which affect tax policies.  

Everywhere, those blessed with oil and gas supply should keep one eye on the competition and one eye on reducing public spending to sustainable, essential levels.   See yesterday's examples, "Lessons For Alaska From Canada".    -dh


Our energy analyst friend writes, "Natural gas has seemingly had a lot going for it in the past year:

  • The US came out of last winter at record low inventories
  • Pipelines keep getting added and redirected to distribute natural gas to hungry markets (although slowly)
  • The weather has been brutal east of the Rockies, all the way into the South
  • More gas keeps displacing coalmoving to Mexico, and benefiting slightly from a modestly improving economy
  • The number of gas (and especially oil) rigs has dropped off big-time

"Despite it all, natural gas is in the doldrums  price-wise. The HH is $2.83, and some recent negative basis-priced gas has sold for 99 cents.  The worst of it all, however, is that it is hard to see the end of the “tunnel”. There is no futures monthly price that hits $4 until 2022."


For our Alaskan and Canadian decision maker friends: here is the face of worldwide oil & gas competition from Energypedia:

GoM: Statoil adds acreage in the Gulf of Mexico Central Lease Sale
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/gulf-of-mexico/new-162961?editionid=101595

Brazil: Petrobras breaks record for well drilling depth in Sergipe-Alagoas Basin http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/brazil/new-162960?editionid=101595

Ophir Energy announces full year results - updates operations  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/general/new-162959?editionid=101595

Tower Resources announces corporate update
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/general/new-162958?editionid=101595

Trinidad: Range Resources announces Trinidad operational update 
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/trinidad/new-162957?editionid=101595

Iran upstream could be open for business this year
http://www.energy-pedia.com/ajax.aspx?advertid=11045&referurl=http://www.af
razadvisers.com/toolkit.html&editionid=101595

Colombia: Anadarko awards CGG the largest proprietary 3D marine seismic survey in Colombia
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/colombia/new-162956?editionid=101595
 
Bulgaria’s Mizia Oil and Gas awarded four exploration blocks in Bulgaria  <http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/bulgaria/new-162955?editionid=101595>

UK: Britain hands lifeline to North Sea oil industry with tax cuts  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/united-kingdom/new-162954?editionid=101595

UK: Grangemouth operator INEOS begins fracking consultation  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/united-kingdom/new-162953?editionid=101595

Australia: Gardline CGG to acquire Gippsland 2D infill seismic survey for Geoscience Australia  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/australia/new-162952?editionid=101595

US shale oil firms brace for more pain as crude resumes slide  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/usa/new-162951?editionid=101595  

UK Budget lays strong foundations for regeneration of the UK North Sea  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/united-kingdom/new-162950?editionid=101595
Oil & Gas UK welcomes the Chancellor’s decisive move to restructure the North Sea tax regime ....

GoM: Gulf of Mexico Lease Sale 235 yields $539 million in high bids on nearly one million acres in Central Planning Area http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/gulf-of-mexico/new-162949?editionid=101595

Canada: Conoco to cut 7 percent of Canadian workforce
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/canada/new-162948?editionid=101595  ConocoPhillips plans to cut about 7 percent ... as tumbling oil prices have made its operations in the country less profitable.

Israel's Tamar group to sell gas to Egypt via pipeline
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/israel/new-162947?editionid=101595.  A group of private customers in Egypt has agreed to buy at least $1.2
billion of natural gas from Israel's ....

Iraq: Gulf Keystone ramping up Shaikan production
http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/iraq/new-162946?editionid=101595  

Morocco: Mubadala Petroleum signs geological study agreement with Morocco  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/morocco/new-162945?editionid=101595

Indonesia: Statoil awarded new licence offshore Indonesia  http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/indonesia/new-162944?editionid=101595


While the U.S. administration characteristically fumbles with global warming and Arctic regulatory issues, Russia -- and to a similar but smaller degree, Canada -- moves out smartly to take the initiative while establishing and enforcing jurisdiction -- and sovereignty.  More below....  -dh

Barents Observer by Atle Staalesen.  As Russia is unfolding a major combat alert drill in its Northern Fleet, the country’s government approves the setup of a new federal Arctic Commission. Headed by hardline Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin, the Commission will coordinate all government authorities involved in regional developments.

Included in the Commission mandate are issues of social, economic, political, as well as military, importance, newspaper Kommersant reports.

...

Rogozin will have five Commission deputies to his disposal: Minister of Natural Resources Sergey Donskoy, Minister of Energy Aleksandr Novak, Minister of Economic Development Aleksey Ulyukaev, Minister of Transport Maksim Sokolov and Deputy Secretary of the national Security Council Vladimir Nazarov. A total of 60 people will be included in the new structure, among them representatives of the oil and gas industry, the ministry of Defence, the FSB, the Presidential Administration and regional governors.

Categories:
Syndicate content